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Order Flow Analysis Pattern Library

CRITICAL: READ THIS FIRST

This is an optional pattern library for advanced traders who have mastered VAB or VOF frameworks.

Non-Negotiable Rules:

  • Never trade these patterns as standalone signals
  • Only use as confluence at VAB/VOF starting points (RTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA or VWAP deviations)
  • All framework rules apply (timing, risk, position sizing, trade limits)
  • Prerequisites: 50+ framework trades with positive expectancy

If you haven't mastered your framework yet, close this document and return to the playbooks.


Quick Reference Matrix

Pattern Priority by Framework:

PatternVAB PriorityVOF PriorityBest Used At
Order Flow AbsorptionEssentialEssentialRTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA extremes, VWAP ±2σ/±3σ
Institutional SweepsEssentialVery UsefulRTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA, Round numbers
Volume Shelf (HVN/LVN)EssentialVery UsefulAny framework starting point
CVD DivergenceVery UsefulEssentialVWAP ±2σ/±3σ, RTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA extremes
HSI (Horizontal Imbalance 400%+)Very UsefulVery UsefulFramework starting points
VSI (Vertical Imbalance 400%+)UsefulUsefulPath between entry and target
Block Trades (Large Footprints)Very UsefulUsefulRTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA tests
Liquidity VoidsUsefulUsefulBetween entry and target
Opening Range StructureUsefulUsefulContext for Case classification
Composite Profile BreakoutAdvancedAdvancedMulti-day context

Introduction

What This Document Is

A reference library of institutional order flow patterns for ES, NQ, and FDAX futures traders who have already achieved consistency with VAB (Value Area Breakout) or VOF (VWAP-Based Order Flow) frameworks.

Purpose:

  • Deepen understanding of institutional behavior at key levels
  • Provide additional confluence filters for framework entries
  • Support continuing education in order flow analysis

This is NOT:

  • A standalone trading system
  • A replacement for VAB/VOF frameworks
  • For beginners or struggling traders

Prerequisites

Before using this library:

  • ✅ 50+ documented trades with VAB or VOF framework
  • ✅ Positive expectancy over 30+ trades minimum
  • ✅ >95% adherence to framework rules
  • ✅ Understanding of Essential Theory (Volume Profile, CVD, VWAP)
  • ✅ Platform with footprint charts and Level 2 data

If missing any prerequisite → Return to framework playbooks first.

Applicable Markets

Primary Focus:

  • ES (E-mini S&P 500) - CME
  • NQ (E-mini Nasdaq-100) - CME
  • FDAX (DAX Futures) - Eurex

Also Applicable To:

  • Other liquid futures: YM, RTY, CL, GC
  • Large-cap stocks: NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, META, TSLA
  • Major ETFs: SPY, QQQ

Requirements:

  • High liquidity (tight spreads)
  • Centralized volume data
  • Full market depth (Level 2)
  • Footprint charting capability

Data & Platform Requirements

Essential Data Feeds:

  • CME Group (for ES/NQ) - Real-time Level 2
  • Eurex (for FDAX) - Real-time Level 2
  • Minimum 10 levels of order book depth
  • Time & Sales (tape) data
  • 1-second resolution for delta calculations

Recommended Platforms:

  • TradingView (Our choice)
  • Sierra Chart
  • NinjaTrader
  • MotiveWave
  • ATAS

Note: Premium subscriptions required for order flow features.

Trading Hours & Optimal Windows

ES/NQ (CME):

  • RTH: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
  • Best for patterns: 9:30 AM - 11:30 AM ET (opening period)
  • Avoid: 12:00 PM - 1:00 PM ET (lunch)

FDAX (Eurex):

  • RTH: 9:00 AM - 5:30 PM CET (3:00 AM - 11:30 AM ET)
  • Best for patterns: 9:00 AM - 11:00 AM CET (European open)
  • Avoid: 12:00 PM - 2:00 PM CET (mid-day)

Extended Hours:

  • Lower liquidity, wider spreads
  • Less reliable order flow signals
  • Higher false signal rate

How to Integrate Patterns

Phase 1: Study (No Trading)

  • Review patterns in replay/historical charts
  • Identify patterns at YOUR framework starting points only
  • Note when patterns appear vs when they don't
  • Duration: 2-4 weeks

Phase 2: Paper/Sim Testing

  • Add 1 pattern as confluence to framework trades (sim only)
  • Track: Does pattern improve conviction? Win rate? R:R?
  • Minimum 20 trades with pattern tracked
  • Duration: 4-6 weeks

Phase 3: Live Integration (If Validated)

  • If pattern genuinely improves edge, add to live trading
  • Start with 1 pattern only
  • Continue tracking performance separately
  • Duration: Ongoing

Phase 4: Pattern Stack (Advanced)

  • After mastering 1-2 patterns, consider adding more
  • Never use more than 3 patterns per setup (complexity kills)
  • Continuously validate each pattern's contribution

Integration Example:

Before (Core Framework Only):

VAB Long Setup:
- Price returns to RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL ✅
- 2-min closes above 30-min VAH ✅
- Strong positive VD ✅
→ Enter long

After (With Absorption Pattern):

VAB Long Setup:
- Price returns to RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL ✅
- 2-min closes above 30-min VAH ✅
- Strong positive VD ✅
+ Absorption visible at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL (500+ lot passive bids absorbing sells) ✅
→ Enter long with HIGHER CONVICTION

What NOT to Do:

  • ❌ Trade absorption pattern alone (without VAB core criteria)
  • ❌ Wait for "perfect" 5-pattern stack (analysis paralysis)
  • ❌ Override framework rules because pattern looks good
  • ❌ Add patterns when you're struggling with core framework

Pattern Categories

Patterns organized by order flow concept (not strategy type):

  1. Institutional Footprints - Large trader participation (absorption, sweeps, blocks, icebergs)
  2. Delta Patterns - Buying/selling pressure analysis (CVD divergence, momentum, sequences)
  3. Volume Distribution - Acceptance/rejection zones (HVN/LVN, shelves, composites)
  4. Imbalances - Supply/demand extremes (HSI, VSI, voids)
  5. Session Structure - Time-based context (opening range, VWAP, TPO)

1. Institutional Footprints

1.1 Order Flow Absorption

Concept: Large passive orders absorbing aggressive market flow without price movement—classic institutional positioning before reversals.

What It Looks Like:

  • Price "stuck" at a level despite high volume
  • Footprint shows large lot sizes (100+ for ES) at bid or ask
  • Repeated market orders hitting same price, absorbed
  • CVD flatlining while price attempts to move

How to Identify:

  1. Watch footprint at your framework level (RTH VP-VAL / ETH VP-VAL, VWAP -2σ, etc.)
  2. Look for clusters of large passive orders (500+ lots for ES, 200+ for NQ)
  3. Observe multiple aggressive hits being absorbed (5+ within 2-3 minutes)
  4. CVD should flatline or turn opposite despite price push

Framework Integration:

FrameworkWhen to UseWhat It Confirms
VABPrice testing RTH VP-VA or ETH VP-VAInstitutions defending value extreme
VOFPrice at VWAP ±2σ or ±3σExhaustion, mean reversion setup

Contract-Specific Thresholds:

  • ES: 500+ lot absorption = significant
  • NQ: 200+ lot absorption = significant (more volatile)
  • FDAX: 100+ lot absorption = significant

Timeframe:

  • Minimum 3-5 minutes of sustained absorption
  • Best during respective RTH core hours

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: VAB Long at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL

IF: Price tests RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL
AND: 2-min closes above 30-min VAH (core)
AND: Strong positive VD (core)
AND: 700-lot passive bids absorbing at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL (absorption pattern)
THEN: High-conviction long, institutions defending support

Scenario 2: VOF Short at VWAP +2σ

IF: Price at VWAP +2σ
AND: 2-min closes below 30-min VAL (core)
AND: Strong negative VD (core)
AND: 600-lot passive asks absorbing at +2σ (absorption pattern)
THEN: High-conviction short, institutions capping rally

Warning Signs (Skip Trade):

  • Absorption volume declining (300 → 150 → 50 lots)
  • Price breaking through absorption after 2-3 tests
  • CVD accelerating in original direction (absorption failing)

Notes:

  • Most reliable at round numbers (ES: 4500, 4550; NQ: 15000, 15500; FDAX: 18000, 18500)
  • Focus on round numbers for FDAX (50-point increments)
  • Iceberg orders may replenish (see pattern 1.4)

1.2 Institutional Sweeps

Concept: Large aggressive orders "sweeping" multiple price levels in succession—often precedes major moves or stops hunts.

What It Looks Like:

  • Multiple large lot trades (1000+ for ES) hitting in rapid succession
  • Price moving through several levels quickly
  • DOM thinning as orders get taken out
  • Time & Sales showing large prints scrolling fast

How to Identify:

  1. Watch Time & Sales for clusters of large trades (within 10-30 seconds)
  2. Footprint shows aggressive orders taking out multiple levels
  3. Price accelerates through zone
  4. Volume spike visible on chart

Framework Integration:

FrameworkWhen to UseWhat It Reveals
VABNear RTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA extremesStop hunt (reversal) or genuine break (continuation)
VOFNear VWAP ±2σ/±3σExhaustion sweep (reversal) or momentum (continuation)

Contract-Specific Thresholds:

  • ES: 1000+ lot sweep = major
  • NQ: 500+ lot sweep = major
  • FDAX: 200+ lot sweep = major

Two Types of Sweeps:

Type A: Stop Hunt (Reversal Setup)

  • Sweep beyond key level (RTH VP-VAH / ETH VP-VAH, VWAP +2σ)
  • Immediate reversal (within 1-2 candles)
  • Price closes back inside structure
  • CVD doesn't confirm sweep direction

Type B: Genuine Breakout (Continuation Setup)

  • Sweep beyond key level
  • Price sustains beyond level (3+ candles)
  • CVD confirms sweep direction
  • Follow-through with volume

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: Stop Hunt at RTH VP-VAH or ETH VP-VAH (VAB Short)

IF: Price sweeps above RTH VP-VAH or ETH VP-VAH with 1200-lot aggression
AND: Reverses within 2 candles, closes back below VAH
AND: CVD flat or declining (didn't confirm sweep)
AND: Now have VAB short setup (2-min below 30-min VAL, negative VD)
THEN: High-conviction short, stop hunt failed, trapped longs

Scenario 2: Genuine Breakout at VWAP +2σ (VOF Continuation)

IF: Price sweeps through VWAP +2σ with 800-lot aggression
AND: Holds above +2σ for 3+ candles
AND: CVD accelerating upward (confirming)
AND: No VAB/VOF short setup forming (respect the breakout)
THEN: Skip mean reversion trade, wait for pullback continuation setup

Warning Signs:

  • Sweep on low volume (fake sweep)
  • Multiple sweeps in short time = indecision
  • Sweep during low liquidity hours (less significant)

Notes:

  • Most common near session opens/closes
  • Watch for correlated market sweeps (ES/NQ often sweep together)
  • Pay attention to round numbers (retail stops cluster there)

1.3 Block Trades (Large Footprints)

Concept: Single large transactions (100+ contracts for ES) indicating institutional participation—shows conviction at specific levels.

What It Looks Like:

  • Single trade of 100+ contracts (ES), 50+ (NQ), 30+ (FDAX)
  • Visible as large number in footprint chart cell
  • May or may not move price significantly
  • Often appears at key technical levels

How to Identify:

  1. Footprint chart showing unusually large single trade
  2. Compare to recent average trade size (2-3x normal = significant)
  3. Note if on bid (sell block) or ask (buy block)
  4. Check if cluster of blocks or single occurrence

Framework Integration:

FrameworkWhen to UseWhat It Reveals
VABAt RTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA testsInstitutional participation/defense
VOFAt VWAP deviationsInstitutional positioning at extremes

Interpretation Matrix:

Block TypeLocationMeaning
Buy BlockSupport (VAL, -2σ)Institutional buying dip
Sell BlockResistance (VAH, +2σ)Institutional selling rally
Buy BlockResistancePossible breakout preparation
Sell BlockSupportPossible breakdown preparation

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: Buy Block at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL (VAB Long)

IF: Price tests RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL
AND: 150-lot buy block prints at VAL
AND: Followed by VAB long setup (2-min above 30-min VAH, positive VD)
THEN: Institutions committed to support, high conviction

Scenario 2: Repeated Sell Blocks at VWAP +2σ (VOF Short)

IF: Price at VWAP +2σ
AND: Three 120+ lot sell blocks within 5 minutes
AND: VOF short setup forms (2-min below 30-min VAL, negative VD)
THEN: Strong institutional selling, high conviction short

Warning Signs:

  • Single block without follow-through (may be exit, not entry)
  • Block on opposite side of your setup (conflicting)
  • Block size declining over time (conviction waning)

Notes:

  • More reliable when multiple blocks cluster at same level
  • ES typically shows 100+ lot blocks, NQ 50+, FDAX 30+
  • Filter by time of day (more significant during prime hours)
  • Consider correlation: ES/NQ blocks often appear simultaneously

1.4 Iceberg Orders

Concept: Large orders split into small visible portions that replenish automatically—institutions hiding true size.

What It Looks Like:

  • DOM showing consistent small size at a level (e.g., 10 lots)
  • Orders replenish immediately after execution
  • Footprint shows repeated trades at same price
  • Total volume at level exceeds visible DOM size

How to Identify:

  1. Watch DOM at key framework level
  2. Observe if size replenishes after trades execute
  3. Footprint shows multiple trades, DOM stays constant
  4. Pattern continues for 5+ minutes

Framework Integration:

FrameworkWhen to UseWhat It Reveals
VABAt RTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA extremesInstitutional defending level (strong support/resistance)
VOFAt VWAP ±2σ/±3σMean reversion support (absorption via iceberg)

Iceberg vs. Absorption:

  • Iceberg: Consistent small visible size, replenishes, DOM static
  • Absorption: Large visible size, decreases as hit, then gone

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: Iceberg at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL (VAB Long)

IF: Price testing RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL multiple times
AND: DOM shows 15 lots bid at VAL consistently
AND: Footprint shows 200+ lots traded at VAL (but DOM still 15)
AND: VAB long setup forms
THEN: Strong institutional support via iceberg, high conviction

Scenario 2: Broken Iceberg (Skip Trade)

IF: Iceberg at VWAP -2σ (replenishing bids)
AND: Price suddenly breaks through with large sweep
AND: Iceberg stops replenishing (institution gave up)
THEN: Skip mean reversion long, wait for new setup

Warning Signs:

  • Iceberg stops replenishing (support/resistance broken)
  • Visible size increases (no longer hidden = desperation?)
  • Multiple tests in short time (iceberg absorbing but pressure building)

Notes:

  • Most common at round numbers and major technical levels
  • Difficult to detect without DOM/Level 2 access
  • Institutions use icebergs to avoid tipping hand
  • Breaking an iceberg = major shift in control

2. Delta Patterns

2.1 CVD Divergence

Concept: Price and Cumulative Volume Delta moving in opposite directions—reveals hidden institutional positioning.

Already Covered In: Essential Theory (Section 8: CVD Patterns)

Quick Reference:

Divergence TypePatternMeaning
Regular BullishPrice: Lower low, CVD: Higher lowSellers exhausting, reversal likely
Regular BearishPrice: Higher high, CVD: Lower highBuyers exhausting, reversal likely
Hidden BullishPrice: Higher low, CVD: Lower lowHealthy pullback, continuation up
Hidden BearishPrice: Lower high, CVD: Higher highWeak rally, continuation down

Framework Integration:

FrameworkBest UsePriority
VABAt RTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA extremesHigh
VOFAt VWAP ±2σ/±3σ (mean reversion)Very High

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: Bearish Divergence at VWAP +2σ (VOF Short)

IF: Price at VWAP +2σ making higher high
AND: CVD making lower high (bearish divergence)
AND: VOF short setup forms (2-min below 30-min VAL, negative VD)
THEN: Very high conviction short, buyers exhausted

Scenario 2: Bullish Divergence at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL (VAB Long)

IF: Price testing RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL making lower low
AND: CVD making higher low (bullish divergence)
AND: VAB long setup forms (2-min above 30-min VAH, positive VD)
THEN: Very high conviction long, sellers exhausted

Contract-Specific Notes:

  • ES: Requires larger divergence (clearer separation)
  • NQ: More pronounced divergences (higher volatility)
  • FDAX: Best during continuous European hours (avoid session transitions)

Minimum Requirements:

  • At least 3 swing points to confirm divergence
  • Divergence at major framework level (not mid-range)
  • Follow-through with VPA + VD (never trade divergence alone)

2.2 Delta Momentum Shifts

Concept: Identifying acceleration or deceleration in volume delta that precedes price moves.

What It Looks Like:

  • Steep CVD slope = strong momentum
  • Flattening CVD slope = momentum waning
  • Sharp V-shape CVD reversal = abrupt control shift

How to Identify:

  1. Monitor CVD slope on your timeframe (2-min for execution)
  2. Compare recent slope to prior swings
  3. Look for inflection points (slope changes)

Framework Integration:

CVD SlopeFramework ContextMeaning
Steep upwardVOF at -2σStrong buying, continuation likely
Flattening (up to flat)VOF at +1σMomentum waning, near reversal
Sharp V-reversalVAB at RTH VP-VAH or ETH VP-VAHSudden shift, potential high/low

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: CVD Acceleration Confirms Breakout

IF: VAB breakout setup (price through RTH VP-VAH or ETH VP-VAH)
AND: CVD slope steepening (accelerating positive delta)
AND: Volume expanding
THEN: Genuine breakout, not false break

Scenario 2: CVD Deceleration Warns Against Entry

IF: VOF setup forming at VWAP -2σ (mean reversion long)
AND: CVD slope flattening despite price falling
AND: No clear exhaustion visible
THEN: Reduce conviction or skip, momentum may continue down

Warning Signs:

  • CVD steep slope against your trade direction
  • CVD flat despite strong price move (no conviction)
  • Multiple CVD reversals in short time (choppy, indecisive)

2.3 Sequential Delta Pattern

Concept: Specific sequences of delta behavior indicating potential major moves.

Pattern Example: Three consecutive bars showing:

  1. Rising price, declining positive delta
  2. Rising price, declining positive delta
  3. Rising price, negative delta appears

→ Exhaustion sequence, reversal likely

Framework Integration:

  • VAB: Confirms rejection at RTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA extremes
  • VOF: Confirms exhaustion at VWAP ±2σ/±3σ

If-Then Scenario:

Exhaustion Sequence at VWAP +2σ (VOF Short)

IF: Price reaching VWAP +2σ
AND: Last 3 bars show declining positive delta each bar
AND: Current bar shows negative delta
AND: VOF short setup forms
THEN: High conviction short, exhaustion confirmed

Notes:

  • Advanced pattern, requires experience reading delta sequences
  • Most reliable at major framework levels
  • Minimum 3 bars needed for valid sequence

3. Volume Distribution

3.1 Volume Shelf (HVN/LVN)

Concept: High Volume Nodes (HVN) and Low Volume Nodes (LVN) from Volume Profile act as support/resistance.

Already Covered In: Essential Theory (Section 2: Volume Profile Structures)

Quick Reference:

Node TypeVisualTrading Implication
HVN"Mountain" on VPSupport (long) or Resistance (short)
LVN"Valley" on VPVoid zone, price moves fast

Framework Integration:

FrameworkHow to Use HVNHow to Use LVN
VABHVN at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL = strong supportLVN between entry/target = fast move
VOFHVN at VWAP -2σ = strong supportLVN between -2σ and VWAP = fast fill

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: HVN at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL (VAB Long)

IF: RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL aligns with major HVN (prior day POC)
AND: VAB long setup forms at this level
THEN: Very high conviction, institutions will defend strongly

Scenario 2: LVN Path to Target (VOF Long)

IF: Entry at VWAP -2σ targeting VWAP
AND: Clear LVN (void) between -2σ and VWAP
AND: VOF long setup forms
THEN: Expect fast move to target (minimal resistance)

Scenario 3: HVN Above Entry (Reduces Conviction)

IF: VOF long at VWAP -2σ
AND: Major HVN sits at -1σ (between entry and target)
THEN: Reduce target expectation, may stall at HVN

Contract-Specific Notes:

  • ES: HVN/LVN hold very reliably, respect them
  • NQ: Can punch through HVN more easily (higher volatility)
  • FDAX: Often respects prior session HVN/LVN

Minimum Significance:

  • HVN should be at least 2x average volume at surrounding prices
  • LVN should span at least 3-5 points (ES), 10+ (NQ), 20+ (FDAX)

3.2 Composite Profile Breakout

Concept: Multi-day composite Volume Profile reveals larger institutional value areas—breakouts from these are significant.

What It Shows:

  • Where institutions have built positions over 3-5+ days
  • Larger "fair value" range than single session
  • Major support/resistance zones

How to Build:

  1. Create Volume Profile composite over 3-5 sessions
  2. Identify composite Value Area (70% VA)
  3. Mark composite VAH and VAL
  4. Note composite POC

Framework Integration:

FrameworkHow to Use
VABCheck if RTH VP-VA or ETH VP-VA aligns with composite extremes
VOFCheck if VWAP deviations align with composite extremes

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: ETH VP-VAH = Composite VAH (Major Resistance)

IF: Current ETH VP-VAH aligns with 5-day composite VAH
AND: VAB short setup forms at this level
THEN: Extremely high conviction, multi-day resistance confluence

Scenario 2: Breakout from Composite (Trend Change)

IF: Price breaks above 5-day composite VAH with volume
AND: VAB breakout setup forms (not mean reversion)
AND: CVD confirming
THEN: Major trend change, institutions accepting higher value

Warning Signs:

  • Composite built during holiday week (lower significance)
  • Composite includes major gap days (distorts value)
  • Too many days (7+) = less relevant for day trading

Notes:

  • 3-5 day composites most useful for intraday trading
  • Weekly composites provide broader context
  • Best used as confirmation, not primary signal

3.3 Range Balance Distribution

Concept: When Volume Profile shows balanced distribution (D-shape), market is consolidating—trade the breakout or extremes.

What It Looks Like:

  • Symmetric bell curve Volume Profile
  • POC near center of range
  • Value Area covers most of range
  • Price oscillating within range

Framework Integration:

  • VAB: Identifies whether RTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA will hold or break
  • VOF: Shows if VWAP deviation will hold (balance) or break (trend)

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: Balanced Profile at RTH VP-VAL (Range Day)

IF: Volume Profile shows balanced D-shape
AND: RTH VP-VAL and RTH VP-VAH define range extremes
THEN: Expect mean reversion trades at extremes (VAB Case #1 characteristics)

Scenario 2: Profile Extending (Trend Day)

IF: Volume Profile showing extension (P-shape or b-shape)
AND: New value developing outside prior range
THEN: Favor continuation setups, not mean reversion

Contract-Specific Notes:

  • ES: Balance areas develop over 1-2 days typically
  • NQ: Shorter balance periods, violent breakouts
  • FDAX: Often respects overnight balance into RTH

4. Imbalances

4.1 Horizontal Stacked Imbalances (HSI 400%+)

Concept: Single price level showing 400%+ bid/ask imbalance—strong directional pressure at specific price.

Already Covered In: Essential Theory (Section 11: Order Flow Principles - Imbalances)

Quick Reference:

  • 400%+ buy imbalance (4x more buys than sells at price) = bullish pressure
  • 400%+ sell imbalance (4x more sells than buys at price) = bearish pressure

Framework Integration:

FrameworkHow to Use
VABHSI at RTH VP-VA / ETH VP-VA confirms direction
VOFHSI at VWAP ±2σ confirms exhaustion or continuation

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: Buy HSI at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL (VAB Long)

IF: Price at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL
AND: 500%+ buy imbalance visible on footprint at VAL
AND: VAB long setup forms
THEN: Strong buying pressure, high conviction

Scenario 2: Sell HSI at VWAP +2σ (VOF Short)

IF: Price at VWAP +2σ
AND: 600%+ sell imbalance at +2σ level
AND: VOF short setup forms
THEN: Strong selling pressure (rejection), high conviction

Warning:

  • Do NOT trade HSI alone (only as confluence at framework levels)
  • HSI can be "absorbed" by large passive orders (watch for continuation)

4.2 Vertical Stacked Imbalances (VSI 400%+)

Concept: Multiple consecutive price levels with one-sided 400%+ imbalances—shows strong momentum/initiative.

Already Covered In: Essential Theory (Section 11: Order Flow Principles - Imbalances)

Quick Reference:

  • 3+ consecutive buy imbalances = strong bullish momentum
  • 3+ consecutive sell imbalances = strong bearish momentum

Framework Integration:

FrameworkHow to Use
VABVSI confirms breakout conviction
VOFVSI shows path between levels (continuation)

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: VSI Confirms VAB Breakout

IF: Price breaks above ETH VP-VAH (VAB long setup)
AND: 4 consecutive buy imbalances visible above VAH
AND: Strong positive VD
THEN: Genuine breakout, strong momentum

Scenario 2: VSI Shows Fast Path (VOF)

IF: Entry at VWAP -2σ (VOF long)
AND: VSI (buy imbalances) stacked between -2σ and VWAP
THEN: Expect fast move to target, momentum supporting

Warning:

  • VSI at extremes can signal exhaustion (too much one-way flow)
  • Best early in moves, not after extended runs

4.3 Liquidity Voids

Concept: Areas of minimal volume (LVN) where price accelerates due to lack of resting orders.

Already Covered In: Essential Theory (Section 2: Volume Profile Structures - LVN)

Quick Reference:

  • LVN = "Valley" on Volume Profile
  • Price tends to fill voids quickly (mean reversion to value)
  • Little support/resistance in void zones

Framework Integration:

FrameworkHow to Use
VABVoid between RTH VP-VA and ETH VP-VA = fast movement path
VOFVoid between VWAP deviation and VWAP = fast fill

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: Void Between Entry and Target (Good)

IF: VOF long entry at VWAP -2σ, target VWAP
AND: Clear LVN (void) spanning -2σ to -0.5σ
THEN: Expect fast initial move (minimal resistance)

Scenario 2: Void Beyond Entry (Risk)

IF: VAB short at ETH VP-VAH, stop above
AND: Clear LVN (void) immediately above VAH
THEN: If invalidated, stop may get hit fast (widen stop or skip)

5. Session Structure

5.1 Opening Range Order Flow

Concept: First 10-15 minutes establish opening range—breakouts with order flow confirmation often lead to directional moves.

What It Shows:

  • Where institutions positioned early
  • Key levels to watch for breakouts
  • Initial commitment vs. testing

How to Mark:

  1. Identify high/low of first 10 minutes (ES/NQ) or 15 minutes (FDAX)
  2. Draw horizontal lines at OR high and OR low
  3. Watch for breakout + order flow confirmation

Framework Integration:

FrameworkHow to Use
VABCheck if OR aligns with RTH VP-VA or ETH VP-VA
VOFCheck OR position relative to VWAP

If-Then Scenarios:

Scenario 1: OR High = ETH VP-VAH (Confluence)

IF: Opening range high aligns with ETH VP-VAH
AND: VAB short setup forms at this level
THEN: Major resistance confluence, high conviction

Scenario 2: OR Breakout Confirmed

IF: Price breaks above OR high with volume
AND: Strong positive VD and CVD
AND: Footprint showing institutional size
THEN: Potential trend day, favor continuation setups

Contract-Specific Timing:

  • ES: First 10 minutes (9:30-9:40 ET)
  • NQ: First 10 minutes (9:30-9:40 ET)
  • FDAX: First 15 minutes (9:00-9:15 CET)

Warning:

  • False breaks common in first 5 minutes (wait for full OR)
  • Low volume breaks = less significant

5.2 VWAP Mean Reversion

Concept: Price at VWAP ±2σ/±3σ deviations tends to revert to VWAP.

Already Covered In: VOF Framework (this IS the VOF core concept)

Quick Reference:

  • ±2σ = 95% probability zone (mean reversion likely)
  • ±3σ = 99.7% probability zone (mean reversion very likely)

Framework Integration:

  • VOF: This is the primary framework starting point
  • VAB: VWAP as additional confluence

Notes: See VOF Playbook for full details. This is not an "additional" pattern—it's the VOF framework itself.


5.3 TPO / Market Profile Context

Concept: Time Price Opportunity (TPO) profiles show time spent at each price—extremes indicate potential reversal zones.

What It Shows:

  • Price acceptance (many TPOs = value)
  • Price rejection (few TPOs = fast traverse)
  • Balance vs. trend characteristics

Framework Integration:

FrameworkHow to Use
VABTPO extremes often align with RTH VP-VA or ETH VP-VA
VOFTPO context for VWAP deviation significance

If-Then Scenario:

TPO Extreme at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL

IF: TPO profile shows single prints (poor low) at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL
AND: VAB long setup forms
THEN: Price likely to revisit/fill this area, high conviction

Notes:

  • Advanced concept, not essential for VAB/VOF
  • Most useful for multi-day context
  • Best studied after mastering core frameworks

Integration Guidelines

Start Small

Phase 1 (Months 1-3): Core Framework Only

  • Trade VAB or VOF with zero additional patterns
  • Focus: Perfect execution of framework rules
  • Goal: 50+ trades, positive expectancy

Phase 2 (Months 4-6): Add ONE Pattern

  • Choose highest priority pattern for your framework:
    • VAB: Order Flow Absorption
    • VOF: CVD Divergence
  • Track separately: Win rate with vs. without pattern
  • Goal: Validate pattern adds value (30+ trades minimum)

Phase 3 (Months 7-12): Add 1-2 More Patterns

  • If first pattern validated, add second:
    • Institutional Sweeps or Volume Shelf (HVN/LVN)
  • Maximum 3 patterns total at this stage
  • Goal: Build YOUR pattern stack

Phase 4 (Year 2+): Advanced Pattern Integration

  • Experiment with additional patterns as needed
  • Remove patterns that don't improve edge
  • Develop intuitive pattern recognition

Pattern Combination Matrix

High-Conviction Stacks (3+ Confluences):

VAB Long at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL:

Core: Price at RTH VP-VAL or ETH VP-VAL + 2-min close above 30-min VAH + Strong positive VD
+ Absorption (500+ lot bids at VAL)
+ Volume Shelf (HVN at VAL)
+ Bullish CVD divergence
= Maximum conviction long

VOF Short at VWAP +2σ:

Core: Price at +2σ + 2-min close below 30-min VAL + Strong negative VD
+ Bearish CVD divergence
+ Sell imbalances (HSI) at +2σ
+ Volume Shelf (HVN resistance at +2σ)
= Maximum conviction short

What NOT to Do

Never:

  • ❌ Trade patterns without framework core criteria
  • ❌ Add 5+ patterns per trade (analysis paralysis)
  • ❌ Override framework timing/risk rules for patterns
  • ❌ Add patterns when struggling with core framework
  • ❌ Cherry-pick patterns to justify bad trades

If Pattern Conflicts with Core:

  • ✅ Always follow core framework
  • ✅ Skip trade if major conflict (e.g., CVD opposing at critical level)
  • ✅ Treat pattern as warning, not overrule

Performance Tracking

Pattern Validation Template

For each pattern you test, track:

Pattern Name: Order Flow Absorption
Test Period: [Date] to [Date]
Total Trades: X
Trades With Pattern: X
Trades Without Pattern: X

Performance With Pattern:
- Win Rate: X%
- Avg R: X
- Expectancy: X

Performance Without Pattern:
- Win Rate: X%
- Avg R: X
- Expectancy: X

Conclusion:
[ ] Keep (improves edge)
[ ] Discard (no improvement or worse)
[ ] Continue testing (inconclusive)

Red Flags to Stop Using a Pattern

  • Win rate decreases with pattern
  • Avg R decreases (taking profits too early due to pattern?)
  • You're missing valid framework setups waiting for pattern
  • Pattern causes hesitation or analysis paralysis
  • You can't execute pattern consistently (too subjective)

Final Reminders

This Library Is Optional

  • Not required for VAB/VOF success
  • Many profitable traders use zero additional patterns
  • Simplicity often beats complexity

Pattern Hierarchy

Framework Core (VPA + VD at starting point)

ALWAYS REQUIRED

Optional Patterns (Confluence)

ENHANCE CONVICTION ONLY

Prerequisites Checklist

  • 50+ framework trades completed
  • Positive expectancy established
  • >95% rule adherence
  • Risk management automatic
  • Seeking to refine edge (not fix broken process)

If ANY unchecked → Skip this library, return to framework playbooks


Quick Reference: Top 5 Patterns

Most Useful Across Both Frameworks:

  1. Order Flow Absorption - Institutions defending level
  2. Volume Shelf (HVN/LVN) - Volume-based support/resistance
  3. CVD Divergence - Hidden strength/weakness
  4. Institutional Sweeps - Stop hunts vs. genuine breaks
  5. HSI (400%+ Imbalances) - Directional pressure confirmation

Master these 5 before exploring others.


For comprehensive theory on these patterns, see:

  • Essential Theory for VAB & VOF (Volume Profile, CVD, Order Flow principles)
  • VAB Playbook (Execution procedures)
  • VOF Playbook (Execution procedures)
  • Cheatsheet (Quick reference during trading)